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The Government will proceed with KiwiSaver auto-enrolment in 2014/15 subject to returning to surplus, as part of its programme to build genuine national savings, Finance Minister Bill English says.
“In the current environment, we need to be mindful of the fiscal costs of all programmes. So we will proceed with KiwiSaver auto-enrolment in the same fiscal year in which we return to surplus and start to repay debt,” he says.
“As signalled in the Budget, we believe there is merit in a one-off KiwiSaver auto-enrolment exercise, where people in the workforce not already in the scheme would be signed up with the ability to opt out.”
Details of the auto-enrolment framework will be finalised next year, after the Government considers submissions on a public discussion paper to be issued in early 2012.
The exercise complements a series of Government measures to build genuine national savings. They include:
“These measures are pushing in the same direction households are already moving,” Mr English says.
“Having spent more than $1.10 for every dollar they earned three years ago, households will this year have a positive savings rate for the first time in more than a decade.”
The Government decided against introducing auto-enrolment before 2014/15 because its immediate focus remains on returning to budget surplus.
“While we’re running deficits in the next two years, that’s money the Government would have to borrow. Borrowing more money to put into KiwiSaver accounts is not real savings – we are applying the same approach to resuming contributions to the Super Fund,” Mr English says.
“Depending on the uptake and design, officials estimate a KiwiSaver auto-enrolment could cost the Government up to $550 million over four years – including the one-off $1,000 kick start payments to new members and ongoing annual member tax credits. We intend to fund this from within existing budget allowances.”
These estimates assume a 55 per cent take up rate among people in the workforce who are not currently in KiwiSaver.
The exercise will be included as a specific fiscal risk in the Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update to be issued next week.
The Government agrees with the Savings Working Group that a compulsory savings regime is not warranted, Mr English says.
“Many New Zealanders have already opted out of KiwiSaver because they have valid reasons for not saving for retirement right now – including paying off their mortgage or being members of private savings schemes.”
With about 1.8 million members, KiwiSaver funds are expected to rise rapidly – from about $8 billion this year to $25 billion by 2015 and almost $60 billion in 10 years. Auto-enrolment will accelerate that growth.
The Government has delayed issuing public discussion paper until next year because of the proximity of the election next month.
“It’s important this is done thoroughly, so we can minimise administrative and compliance costs for both employers and the Government,” Mr English says.
FACT FILE
What is changing?
Why wait until 2014?
What is the expected cost to the Government?
Membership and cost projections under different take-up assumptions
(indicative costs based on employees not already in a superannuation scheme)
| Estimate of uptake |
Number of new members |
Costs ($m) |
|
|
|
|
2014/15 |
2015/16 |
2016/17 |
2017/18 |
||
|
55% uptake |
275,000 |
361 |
74 |
65 |
52 |
|
40% uptake |
200,000 |
256 |
42 |
33 |
20 |
Why increase voluntary membership?
What else is the Government doing to increase national savings?
Why have some people not joined KiwiSaver?
Why not make KiwiSaver compulsory?
What are the next steps?