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Commodity research is rich pickings for traders

Tuesday 30 August 2011, 6:32PM

By Massey University

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Dr Nhut Nguyen, of Auckland University, (left) with Massey University Associate Professor Nuttawat Visaltanachoti.
Dr Nhut Nguyen, of Auckland University, (left) with Massey University Associate Professor Nuttawat Visaltanachoti. Credit: Massey
Associate Professor Ben Marshall.
Associate Professor Ben Marshall. Credit: Massey

New research from Massey and Auckland universities suggests traders of gold, livestock or energy could save money staggering deals over the course of an hour.

Massey’s associate professors Nuttawat Visaltanachoti and Ben Marshall together with Dr Nhut Nguyen, of Auckland, documented the costs of trading various commodities and quantified the benefits of splitting large trades into smaller components. They show splitting trades over one hour reduces costs by two-thirds compared to executing a trade immediately.

The researchers studied the 24 commodities in the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index, including agricultural, energy, industrial metal, livestock and precious metals.

They also found that the daily price change per unit of volume-traded measure does the best job of measuring variations in the actual cost of trading commodities. Knowing this simple-to-calculate measure is accurate makes it easier to study commodity liquidity over a long time period.

Their findings have recently been published in one of the world’s top finance journals, the A*-rated Review of Financial Studies in a paper entitled Commodity Liquidity Measurement and Transaction Costs.

“We hope companies looking to hedge their commodity risk will benefit from using their transaction cost numbers in their cost-benefit analysis. They should also be useful for investors when deciding whether it is worth diversifying into commodities,” says Dr Marshall, of the School of Economics and Finance.

Massey University has just been announced top in New Zealand for finance and accounting research over the past two decades in a paper published in the journal Accounting and Finance. The paper ­– An analysis of the accounting and finance research productivity in Australia and New Zealand in 1991-2010 – was written by academics from the United States, Taiwan and China and shows Massey has published in more high-quality journals than any other New Zealand university and over the past decade is in the top six in Australia and New Zealand combined.

Head of Massey University’s School of Economics and Finance Professor Martin Young says: “Our finance research is of the highest quality, is relevant to the business world and is having an impact on the global stage.”